{
  "version": "results-only-elo-v1",
  "capturedAt": "2026-10-01T01:21:16.776554+00:00",
  "methods": [
    "Elo: 1500 kezdőérték, K=20, legalább 10 korábbi meccs csapatonként. Az aznapi eredmények csak a nap összes becslése után kerülnek be.",
    "LoL: csak teljes adatsorú, első pályák; modell szerint legalább 55% esélyű csapat. Nem teljes sorozat és nem bukmékeri favorit.",
    "NHL: 40–60% közötti Elo-esély, 60 perces eredmény; OT győztes gólját és SO mesterséges gólját kivonjuk.",
    "Rögzített szabályok; a későbbi időszak külön teszt. Nincs piaci odds, ezért profit, ROI és pozitív EV nem mérhető. Több piac ugyanazon meccsein korrelált mintát ad. A Wilson-intervallum meccsenkénti függetlenséget közelít.",
    "Finn Liiga: csak alapszakasz és lezárt meccs; a rendes játékidő góljait az első három NORMAL periódus összege adja. Elkülönített teszt 2025 szeptemberétől."
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "NHL · hivatalos eredmény API",
      "url": "https://api-web.nhle.com/v1/club-schedule-season/TOR/20252026",
      "requests": 96,
      "failures": []
    },
    {
      "name": "Oracle’s Elixir · LoL 2025 · rögzített nyilvános tükör",
      "url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/chrisvu1007/league-of-legends-match-predictor/29838abc074d60a83c7a9638a456a2d366b5546d/data/2025_LoL_esports_match_data_from_OraclesElixir.csv",
      "original": "https://oracleselixir.com/tools/downloads",
      "sha256": "90b48f02b94c8768c90b5c7925eb89d7823db6d4ba3a79df1b1b002a097bbdf8",
      "commit": "29838abc074d60a83c7a9638a456a2d366b5546d"
    },
    {
      "name": "Finn Liiga · hivatalos eredmény API",
      "url": "https://liiga.fi/api/v2/games?tournament=runkosarja&season=2027",
      "requests": 5,
      "failures": []
    }
  ],
  "datasets": {
    "nhl": 3936,
    "lolFirstMaps": 4482,
    "liiga": 1930
  },
  "strategies": [
    {
      "id": "nhl-balanced-both-score",
      "full": {
        "n": 2321,
        "wins": 2081,
        "hitRate": 0.8965962947005601,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.8835463168066788,
          0.9083355903305643
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.115329168668909,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2023-11-03",
        "to": "2026-04-17"
      },
      "development": {
        "n": 1467,
        "wins": 1299,
        "hitRate": 0.885480572597137,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.8681683497752212,
          0.900779169794527
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.1293302540415704,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2023-11-03",
        "to": "2025-04-17"
      },
      "test": {
        "n": 854,
        "wins": 782,
        "hitRate": 0.9156908665105387,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.8951427242297048,
          0.932515901791696
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.092071611253197,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2025-10-08",
        "to": "2026-04-17"
      },
      "label": "NHL · közeli csapaterő · mindkét csapat gólt szerez"
    },
    {
      "id": "nhl-balanced-both-2plus",
      "full": {
        "n": 2321,
        "wins": 1450,
        "hitRate": 0.6247307195174494,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.6048411666655966,
          0.6442080588816408
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.6006896551724137,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2023-11-03",
        "to": "2026-04-17"
      },
      "development": {
        "n": 1467,
        "wins": 904,
        "hitRate": 0.6162235855487389,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.5910650259328274,
          0.6407750308074769
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.622787610619469,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2023-11-03",
        "to": "2025-04-17"
      },
      "test": {
        "n": 854,
        "wins": 546,
        "hitRate": 0.639344262295082,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.6065800763797649,
          0.6708604207936062
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.564102564102564,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2025-10-08",
        "to": "2026-04-17"
      },
      "label": "NHL · közeli csapaterő · mindkét csapat legalább 2 gól"
    },
    {
      "id": "nhl-balanced-over55",
      "full": {
        "n": 2321,
        "wins": 1308,
        "hitRate": 0.5635501938819474,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.543284801777777,
          0.5836055635701244
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.7744648318042813,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2023-11-03",
        "to": "2026-04-17"
      },
      "development": {
        "n": 1467,
        "wins": 814,
        "hitRate": 0.5548738922972052,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.5293314480842924,
          0.5801296930746195
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.8022113022113022,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2023-11-03",
        "to": "2025-04-17"
      },
      "test": {
        "n": 854,
        "wins": 494,
        "hitRate": 0.5784543325526932,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.5450558541911505,
          0.6111501400157053
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.728744939271255,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2025-10-08",
        "to": "2026-04-17"
      },
      "label": "NHL · közeli csapaterő · 5,5 gól felett"
    },
    {
      "id": "nhl-balanced-under65",
      "full": {
        "n": 2321,
        "wins": 1448,
        "hitRate": 0.6238690219732874,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.6039719181781333,
          0.6433567600423529
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.602900552486188,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2023-11-03",
        "to": "2026-04-17"
      },
      "development": {
        "n": 1467,
        "wins": 920,
        "hitRate": 0.6271301976823449,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.6020826327163739,
          0.6515136756828447
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.5945652173913043,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2023-11-03",
        "to": "2025-04-17"
      },
      "test": {
        "n": 854,
        "wins": 528,
        "hitRate": 0.6182669789227166,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.5852227824818553,
          0.6502519252031066
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.6174242424242424,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2025-10-08",
        "to": "2026-04-17"
      },
      "label": "NHL · közeli csapaterő · 6,5 gól alatt"
    },
    {
      "id": "lol-stronger-first-map",
      "full": {
        "n": 1591,
        "wins": 1100,
        "hitRate": 0.6913890634820867,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.668252703119954,
          0.7136034009595985
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.4463636363636363,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2025-02-11",
        "to": "2025-12-13"
      },
      "development": {
        "n": 773,
        "wins": 549,
        "hitRate": 0.7102199223803364,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.6772612277612099,
          0.7410994779476502
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.4080145719489983,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2025-02-11",
        "to": "2025-06-28"
      },
      "test": {
        "n": 818,
        "wins": 551,
        "hitRate": 0.6735941320293398,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.6407141451774852,
          0.7048512289773399
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.484573502722323,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2025-07-02",
        "to": "2025-12-13"
      },
      "label": "LoL · forma alapján erősebb csapat · első pálya"
    },
    {
      "id": "liiga-balanced-both-score",
      "label": "Finn Liiga · közeli csapaterő · mindkét csapat gólt szerez",
      "full": {
        "n": 1098,
        "wins": 928,
        "hitRate": 0.8451730418943534,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.8225761363345426,
          0.8653630374995184
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.1831896551724137,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2022-10-08",
        "to": "2026-09-30"
      },
      "development": {
        "n": 794,
        "wins": 676,
        "hitRate": 0.8513853904282116,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.8249529146619707,
          0.8744340313182841
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.1745562130177514,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2022-10-08",
        "to": "2025-03-15"
      },
      "test": {
        "n": 304,
        "wins": 252,
        "hitRate": 0.8289473684210527,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.782577576671951,
          0.8671071962762146
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.2063492063492063,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2025-09-09",
        "to": "2026-09-30"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "liiga-balanced-both-2plus",
      "label": "Finn Liiga · közeli csapaterő · mindkét csapat legalább 2 gól",
      "full": {
        "n": 1098,
        "wins": 568,
        "hitRate": 0.517304189435337,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.48773807389045654,
          0.5467496419481902
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.9330985915492958,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2022-10-08",
        "to": "2026-09-30"
      },
      "development": {
        "n": 794,
        "wins": 406,
        "hitRate": 0.5113350125944585,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.4765942407024807,
          0.5459666285226888
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.9556650246305418,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2022-10-08",
        "to": "2025-03-15"
      },
      "test": {
        "n": 304,
        "wins": 162,
        "hitRate": 0.5328947368421053,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.47674868842695906,
          0.5882197888678576
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.876543209876543,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2025-09-09",
        "to": "2026-09-30"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "liiga-balanced-over55",
      "label": "Finn Liiga · közeli csapaterő · 5,5 gól felett",
      "full": {
        "n": 1098,
        "wins": 463,
        "hitRate": 0.4216757741347905,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.39278865006718205,
          0.451109057189469
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 2.3714902807775378,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2022-10-08",
        "to": "2026-09-30"
      },
      "development": {
        "n": 794,
        "wins": 320,
        "hitRate": 0.40302267002518893,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.36945018675693686,
          0.4375290432055019
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 2.48125,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2022-10-08",
        "to": "2025-03-15"
      },
      "test": {
        "n": 304,
        "wins": 143,
        "hitRate": 0.47039473684210525,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.41500591089479644,
          0.5265224595398686
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 2.125874125874126,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2025-09-09",
        "to": "2026-09-30"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "liiga-balanced-under65",
      "label": "Finn Liiga · közeli csapaterő · 6,5 gól alatt",
      "full": {
        "n": 1098,
        "wins": 807,
        "hitRate": 0.7349726775956285,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.7080803853706056,
          0.7602264928594414
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.3605947955390334,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2022-10-08",
        "to": "2026-09-30"
      },
      "development": {
        "n": 794,
        "wins": 598,
        "hitRate": 0.7531486146095718,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.7219852826455815,
          0.781874130049871
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.3277591973244147,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2022-10-08",
        "to": "2025-03-15"
      },
      "test": {
        "n": 304,
        "wins": 209,
        "hitRate": 0.6875,
        "hitRate95": [
          0.6333283053747206,
          0.7369920152057338
        ],
        "breakEvenOdds": 1.4545454545454546,
        "roi": null,
        "units": null,
        "from": "2025-09-09",
        "to": "2026-09-30"
      }
    }
  ]
}