Frequently asked questions

Staked units measure total wagering volume, not profit. Stake weekly and monthly bonuses take volume and VIP level into account; rakeback depends on eligibility and conditions. Higher volume can therefore be useful but does not automatically mean more net profit. The calculator uses staked units, unit stake and VIP level to show a baseline rakeback estimate and illustrative weekly/monthly ranges. It can be calibrated with your previous turnover and bonus. These are estimates, not guaranteed Stake credits, and never count towards measured tracker profit. Larger stakes increase exposure; bankroll and combined exposure per event matter.

Suggested unit size: 0.5–2% of your bankroll set aside for betting; the default is 1%. Smaller units leave room for concurrent bets: 30 one-unit bets tie up 30% of your bankroll at 1% per unit, or 60% at 2%. Multi-unit strategy stakes can increase this exposure. Bankroll means money allocated to betting, not all your savings. This is cautious stake management, not a profit or safety guarantee.

EV = (estimated probability × odds − 1) × 100%. Adjusted EV includes uncertainty deductions. A positive estimate does not guarantee a win; predicted probabilities require validation.

Net units sum profits and losses. ROI = net units / total units staked × 100%. Each stake profile uses its own total stakes.

Estimated probability comes from a model or reference prices; it is not the observed win rate. Fair odds are its reciprocal after removing reference margin. A/B/C grades describe data quality, not guaranteed wins.

CLV compares recorded entry odds with a later pre-event price. Shortening odds can indicate a better entry price but do not alone validate estimated EV.

When another pick for the same event has already been sent, the email shows a related-bet warning. Vancouver +1.5 and +2.5 or Córdoba 0 and −1.5 are different bets whose exposure adds up. Before placing another bet, check whether you already have money on this event. The system knows earlier notifications, not whether you actually placed a bet. Mutually exclusive outcomes on the same market are conflicts.

The sum of inverse odds across all outcomes is below 1. Actual coverage requires matching settlement rules, available prices for every outcome and sufficient stake limits. Recheck every price before betting.

Risk-managed baseline is the default: 1 unit through odds 2.50, 0.5 above 2.50 through 3.50, and 0.3 above 3.50 through 5.00. Highest staked volume is unchanged: it maximizes turnover with positive overall and latest-30% results and at least half of chronological windows profitable, using at most 2 units. Best sports & markets selects named sports and one shared broad odds range instead of tiny sport–market–odds cells. EV stays 0–100%; the five candidate odds ranges are (1.10, 2.50], (1.60, 3.50], (2.00, 5.00], (1.10, 3.50] and (1.60, 5.00]. Each sport requires at least 12 settlements and half the combined minimum, with positive overall and latest-30% results and 1 / 0.5 / 0.3-unit staking. A selection needs at least 24 settled picks and 10% of the training sample, with positive overall and latest-30% results. Profit / drawdown replaces Balanced Optimization. It also selects named sports and one common broad odds range without a separate EV search, and maximizes net profit divided by maximum cumulative drawdown, with a denominator floor of 1 unit. Stakes are capped at 1 unit and never rise with the odds; at least 24 settled picks and 15% of the training sample are required, with positive overall and latest-30% results. Available alternatives differ by at least 5 picks and 10% of their combined unique entries. Insufficient evidence is disclosed instead of inventing another profile. Latest 30% means the final 30% of selected settled picks, not 30 days. Settlements and corrections recalculate selection; open outcomes are not training data. Optimized results are retrospective backtests, not validated future performance. Tracker history, settlements and saved notification preferences remain; new rules apply to new signals.

Verified results or details required for correct market settlement are missing. Tennis game handicaps need set-by-set games; retirements depend on bookmaker rules. No settlement without evidence.